Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ross County win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 36.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ross County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ross County would win this match.