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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 7
Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Kilmarnock logo

Dundee
2 - 3
Kilmarnock

Larkeche (24'), Adewumi (81')
Sylla (30'), Murray (38')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kennedy (86', 90+4'), Anderson (88')
Mayo (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Dundee and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dundee 1-2 Aberdeen
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 3-3 Dundee Utd
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 51.45%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
DundeeDrawKilmarnock
51.45% (0.952 0.95)23.1% (-0.517 -0.52)25.46% (-0.43 -0.43)
Both teams to score 58.52% (1.338 1.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.92% (1.971 1.97)42.08% (-1.966 -1.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.52% (1.948 1.95)64.49% (-1.944 -1.94)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.56% (1.081 1.08)16.44% (-1.077 -1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.88% (1.914 1.91)46.12% (-1.91 -1.91)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.04% (0.708 0.71)29.97% (-0.703 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.92% (0.844 0.84)66.08% (-0.839 -0.84)
Score Analysis
    Dundee 51.45%
    Kilmarnock 25.46%
    Draw 23.09%
DundeeDrawKilmarnock
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.042 0.04)
1-0 @ 8.89% (-0.465 -0.47)
2-0 @ 8.03% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-1 @ 5.82% (0.229 0.23)
3-0 @ 4.83% (0.099 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.51% (0.203 0.2)
4-1 @ 2.63% (0.192 0.19)
4-0 @ 2.18% (0.12 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.58% (0.144 0.14)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.1 0.1)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 51.45%
1-1 @ 10.71% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-2 @ 5.83% (0.138 0.14)
0-0 @ 4.93% (-0.447 -0.45)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.108 0.11)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.09%
1-2 @ 6.46% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-1 @ 5.94% (-0.413 -0.41)
0-2 @ 3.58% (-0.175 -0.18)
1-3 @ 2.6% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.34% (0.099 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 25.46%

How you voted: Dundee vs Kilmarnock

Dundee
50.0%
Draw
15.0%
Kilmarnock
35.0%
20
Head to Head
May 18, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 38
Dundee
1-1
Kilmarnock
McCowan (37')
Main (72')
Mackay-Steven (24')
Wright (49'), Deas (76')
Deas (85')
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 29
Dundee
2-2
Kilmarnock
Dennis (11' og.), McCowan (63' pen.)
Beck (39'), A (90+4')
Watkins (35')
Vassell (49'), Ndaba (67'), Deas (90+2'), van Veen (90+7'), van Veen (90+7')
Mayo (60')
Jan 20, 2024 3pm
Fourth Round
Kilmarnock
2-0
Dundee
Vassell (1'), Watkins (3')
Watkins (42')
Dec 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Kilmarnock
2-2
Dundee
Wright (85'), McKenzie (90+3')
Kennedy (24'), Donnelly (83'), (90+6')
McCowan (35'), Shaughnessy (90+5')
Boateng (87')
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Dundee
2-2
Kilmarnock
Bakayoko (16'), Rudden (90+3')
Rudden (68')
Mulligan (34')
Armstrong (30' pen., 81')
Deas (39'), Armstrong (60'), Wright (87')
McInnes (35')
rhs 2.0


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