Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 44.54%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Hearts in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Hearts.
Result | ||
St Johnstone | Draw | Hearts |
29.43% ( 2.81) | 26.02% ( 1.45) | 44.54% ( -4.26) |
Both teams to score 52.05% ( -2.61) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.96% ( -4.35) | 52.03% ( 4.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.23% ( -3.88) | 73.76% ( 3.88) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.84% ( -0.14) | 32.16% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.35% ( -0.16) | 68.64% ( 0.16) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.72% ( -3.68) | 23.27% ( 3.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.8% ( -5.67) | 57.2% ( 5.67) |
Score Analysis |
St Johnstone | Draw | Hearts |
1-0 @ 8.49% ( 1.35) 2-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.75) 3-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.28) Other @ 2.7% Total : 29.43% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( 0.73) 0-0 @ 7.48% ( 1.21) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.29) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.02% | 0-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.69) 1-2 @ 9.02% ( -0.47) 0-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.38) 1-3 @ 4.39% ( -0.77) 0-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.66) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.45) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.5) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.44) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.29) Other @ 2% Total : 44.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 14 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 41 | 4 | 37 | 40 |
2 | Aberdeen | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 33 |
3 | RangersRangers | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
5 | Dundee | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 19 |
6 | Motherwell | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 19 |
7 | St Mirren | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 18 |
8 | Ross County | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 27 | -15 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 13 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 33 | -17 | 13 |
11 | Hibernian | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Hearts | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 10 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |