Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 11

Nov 2, 2024 at 3pm UK

McDiarmid Park

St Johnstone
1 - 2
Hearts

Clark (68' pen.)
Sprangler (44'), Holt (61')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Clark (23' og.), Vargas (77')
Oyegoke (41'), Rowles (45+1'), Shankland (52'), Devlin (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Johnstone and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Johnstone

All competitions

Last Game: St Mirren 3-1 St Johnstone
Wednesday, October 30 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Hearts

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Hearts 1-2 Kilmarnock
Wednesday, October 30 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 44.54%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Hearts in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Hearts.

Result
St Johnstone	Draw	Hearts
29.43% ( 2.81)	26.02% ( 1.45)	44.54% ( -4.26)

Both teams to score 52.05% (

-2.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.96% (

-4.35)

52.03% (

4.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.23% (

-3.88)

73.76% (

3.88)

St Johnstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.84% (

-0.14)

32.16% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.35% (

-0.16)

68.64% (

0.16)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.72% (

-3.68)

23.27% (

3.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.8% (

-5.67)

57.2% (

5.67)

Score Analysis

St Johnstone 29.43%

Hearts 44.54%

Draw 26.02%

St Johnstone	Draw	Hearts
1-0 @ 8.49% ( 1.35) 2-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.75) 3-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.28) Other @ 2.7% Total : 29.43%	1-1 @ 12.37% ( 0.73) 0-0 @ 7.48% ( 1.21) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.29) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.02%	0-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.69) 1-2 @ 9.02% ( -0.47) 0-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.38) 1-3 @ 4.39% ( -0.77) 0-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.66) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.45) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.5) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.44) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.29) Other @ 2% Total : 44.54%