Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 52.18%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.