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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 10
Oct 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Smisa Stadium
St Johnstone logo

St Mirren
3 - 1
St Johnstone

Tanser (30'), O'Hara (57'), Ayunga (90+3')
Bwomono (23'), Balcombe (44')
FT(HT: 1-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and St Johnstone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rangers 2-1 St Mirren
Sunday, October 27 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee 1-2 St Johnstone
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.

Result
St MirrenDrawSt Johnstone
44.84% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)25.09%30.07% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.16% (0.0039999999999978 0)47.84% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)70.02% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.64% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)21.35% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.68% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)54.32%
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.44% (0.007000000000005 0.01)29.56% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.41% (0.009999999999998 0.01)65.58% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 44.84%
    St Johnstone 30.07%
    Draw 25.09%
St MirrenDrawSt Johnstone
1-0 @ 9.75% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 9.17%
2-0 @ 7.52% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 4.72%
3-0 @ 3.87% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 44.84%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 6.31% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 7.69%
1-2 @ 7.24% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.69% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.91% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 30.07%

How you voted: St Mirren vs St Johnstone

St Mirren
30.8%
Draw
11.5%
St Johnstone
57.7%
26
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 27
St Mirren
2-0
St Johnstone
Mitov (36' og.), Mandron (64')
Baccus (89')

Sidibeh (77'), Phillips (79')
Dec 6, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
St Johnstone
1-0
St Mirren
Kane (90+5')
Sprangler (89'), Kane (90+6')

Olusanya (83')
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
St Mirren
4-0
St Johnstone
Baccus (36'), Mandron (48', 70'), Kiltie (90')
O'Hara (32'), Baccus (75')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
St Johnstone
1-1
St Mirren
Rudden (75')
Gogic (86')
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
St Mirren
2-2
St Johnstone
Kiltie (42'), O'Hara (81')
Carey (33' pen.), Clark (90+6')