Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 13

Dec 7, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
2 - 1
St Pauli

Wirtz (6'), Tah (21')
Hincapie (28')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Guilavogui (84')
Guilavogui (37'), Saliakas (75'), Dzwigala (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and St Pauli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Bayern 0-1 B. Leverkusen
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

St Pauli

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: St Pauli 3-1 Holstein Kiel
Friday, November 29 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 74.3%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for St Pauli had a probability of 10.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 3-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.89%), while for a St Pauli win it was 1-2 (3.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	St Pauli
74.3% ( 1.35)	15.18% ( -0.53)	10.53% ( -0.81)

Both teams to score 55.46% (

-0.98)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.87% (

0.21)

31.13% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.46% (

0.25)

52.54% (

-0.24)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.89% (

0.32)

7.11% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.09% (

0.83)

25.91% (

-0.82)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.7% (

-1.26)

40.3% (

1.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.08% (

-1.17)

76.93% (

1.17)

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 74.3%

St Pauli 10.53%

Draw 15.18%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	St Pauli
2-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.33) 3-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.58% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.31) 4-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.21) 5-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.04) 6-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.11) 5-2 @ 1.27% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.84% Total : 74.3%	1-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.18% Total : 15.18%	1-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.21) 0-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.41% Total : 10.53%