/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fbaylog.png)
-
Morgan Guilavogui
64'
-
Alexander Blessin
65'
-
Manolis Saliakas
66'
-
Jamal Musiala
22'
-
Kim Min-jae
66'
-
Konrad Laimer
90'+2'
St Pauli vs Bayern Munich - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 56.35%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 23.1% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.15%) and 1-3 (6.81%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 2-1 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result
St Pauli
23.1%
▲
(+0.30)
Draw
20.56%
▲
(+0.14)
Bayern Munich
56.35%
▼
(-0.44)
Both Teams to Score:
64.92%
▼
(-0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5
67.54%
▼
(-0.34)
Under 2.5
32.45%
▲
(+0.33)
Over 3.5
45.9%
▼
(-0.39)
Under 3.5
54.09%
▲
(+0.39)
Over 4.5
27.08%
▼
(-0.34)
Under 4.5
72.92%
▲
(+0.34)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5
73.44%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
26.56%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 1.5
38.23%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 1.5
61.76%
▼
(-0.06)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5
88.4%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 0.5
11.6%
▲
(+0.23)
Over 1.5
63.41%
▼
(-0.49)
Under 1.5
36.59%
▲
(+0.49)
Score analysis
St Pauli
23.1%
Draw
20.56%
Bayern Munich
56.35%
St Pauli
2-1
@
5.83%
▲
(+0.07)
1-0 @ 4.08% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 23.1%
1-0 @ 4.08% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 23.1%
Draw
1-1
@
8.8%
▲
(+0.09)
2-2 @ 6.28% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.08% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 20.56%
2-2 @ 6.28% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.08% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 20.56%
Bayern Munich
1-2
@
9.48%
▲
(+0.02)
0-2 @ 7.15% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 6.81% ▼ (-0.06)
0-1 @ 6.64% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 5.13% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 4.51% ▼ (-0.04)
1-4 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.07)
0-4 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.06)
2-4 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.04)
1-5 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.05)
0-5 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.04)
3-4 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.02)
2-5 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 56.35%
0-2 @ 7.15% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 6.81% ▼ (-0.06)
0-1 @ 6.64% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 5.13% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 4.51% ▼ (-0.04)
1-4 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.07)
0-4 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.06)
2-4 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.04)
1-5 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.05)
0-5 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.04)
3-4 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.02)
2-5 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 56.35%