Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 10

Nov 9, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Millerntor-Stadion

St Pauli
0 - 1
Bayern

Guilavogui (64'), Blessin (65'), Saliakas (66')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Musiala (22')
Min-jae (66'), Laimer (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Hoffenheim 0-2 St Pauli
Saturday, November 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Bayern 1-0 Benfica
Wednesday, November 6 at 8.15pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 56.35%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 23.1% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.15%) and 1-3 (6.81%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 2-1 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
St Pauli	Draw	Bayern Munich
23.1% ( 0.29)	20.56% ( 0.14)	56.35% ( -0.43)

Both teams to score 64.92% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.54% (

-0.33)

32.45% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.9% (

-0.39)

54.09% (

0.39)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.44% (

0.04)

26.56% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.23% (

0.05)

61.76% (

-0.05)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.4% (

-0.23)

11.6% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.41% (

-0.49)

36.59% (

0.48)

Score Analysis

St Pauli 23.1%

Bayern Munich 56.35%

Draw 20.56%

St Pauli	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 3% Total : 23.1%	1-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.4% Total : 20.56%	1-2 @ 9.48% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.15% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.81% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 5.13% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 4.51% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 3.67% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 2.76% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 2.43% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.58% ( -0.04) 0-5 @ 1.19% ( -0.03) 3-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) 2-5 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.89% Total : 56.35%