Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 12

Nov 29, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Millerntor-Stadion

St Pauli
3 - 1
Holstein Kiel

Saliakas (25'), Guilavogui (56'), Eggestein (85')
Smith (38'), Afolayan (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Harres (90+1')
Rapp (0'), Holtby (23'), Machino (23'), Ivezic (27'), Becker (38'), Erras (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Holstein Kiel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 2-0 St Pauli
Sunday, November 24 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Holstein Kiel

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Holstein Kiel 0-3 Mainz
Sunday, November 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 44.98%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.

Result
St Pauli	Draw	Holstein Kiel
44.98% ( -0.26)	23.99% ( 0.03)	31.03% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 59.71% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.58% (

-0.04)

42.41% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.18% (

-0.04)

64.82% (

0.04)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.93% (

-0.13)

19.07% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.33% (

-0.21)

50.67% (

0.21)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.78% (

0.13)

26.22% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.68% (

0.17)

61.32% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

St Pauli 44.98%

Holstein Kiel 31.03%

Draw 23.99%

St Pauli	Draw	Holstein Kiel
2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.29% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.3% Total : 44.98%	1-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.99%	1-2 @ 7.42% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 31.03%