Bundesliga
Gameweek
11
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmailog.png)
-
Patrick Erras
56'
-
Nadiem Amiri
11'
-
Jonathan Burkardt
37'
-
Lee Jae-sung
53'
Holstein Kiel vs Mainz 05 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F47%2Fbo-henriksen.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.43%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.
Result
Holstein Kiel
32.79%
▲
(+1.84)
Draw
23.56%
▲
(+1.05)
Mainz 05
43.65%
▼
(-2.89)
Both Teams to Score:
62.09%
▼
(-3.00)
Goals
Over 2.5
60.36%
▼
(-4.31)
Under 2.5
39.63%
▲
(+4.31)
Over 3.5
38.01%
▼
(-4.63)
Under 3.5
61.98%
▲
(+4.63)
Over 4.5
20.57%
▼
(-3.74)
Under 4.5
79.43%
▲
(+3.74)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5
76.19%
▼
(-1.02)
Under 0.5
23.81%
▲
(+1.02)
Over 1.5
42.02%
▼
(-1.48)
Under 1.5
57.97%
▲
(+1.48)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5
81.49%
▼
(-2.82)
Under 0.5
18.5%
▲
(+2.82)
Over 1.5
50.27%
▼
(-4.97)
Under 1.5
49.72%
▲
(+4.97)
Score analysis
Holstein Kiel
32.79%
Draw
23.55%
Mainz 05
43.65%
Holstein Kiel
2-1
@
7.65%
▲
(+0.42)
1-0 @ 6.32% ▲ (+1.04)
2-0 @ 4.54% ▲ (+0.63)
3-1 @ 3.66% ▲ (+0.10)
3-2 @ 3.09% ▼ (-0.22)
3-0 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.25)
4-1 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 32.79%
1-0 @ 6.32% ▲ (+1.04)
2-0 @ 4.54% ▲ (+0.63)
3-1 @ 3.66% ▲ (+0.10)
3-2 @ 3.09% ▼ (-0.22)
3-0 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.25)
4-1 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 32.79%
Draw
1-1
@
10.66%
▲
(+0.87)
2-2 @ 6.46% ▼ (-0.25)
0-0 @ 4.41% ▲ (+0.83)
3-3 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.31)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.55%
2-2 @ 6.46% ▼ (-0.25)
0-0 @ 4.41% ▲ (+0.83)
3-3 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.31)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.55%
Mainz 05
1-2
@
9%
▼
(-0.08)
0-1 @ 7.43% ▲ (+0.81)
0-2 @ 6.27% ▲ (+0.14)
1-3 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.54)
2-3 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.51)
0-3 @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.27)
1-4 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.46)
2-4 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.39)
0-4 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.27)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 43.65%
0-1 @ 7.43% ▲ (+0.81)
0-2 @ 6.27% ▲ (+0.14)
1-3 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.54)
2-3 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.51)
0-3 @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.27)
1-4 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.46)
2-4 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.39)
0-4 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.27)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 43.65%
Head to Head
DFB-Pokal
-
Suat Serdar
10'
-
Viktor Fischer
22'
-
Fabian Frei
49'
-
Viktor Fischer
67'
-
Daniel Brosinski
101'
-
Robin Zentner
115'
-
Dominick Drexler
6'
-
Kingsley Schindler
54'
-
Dominick Drexler
74'
-
Amara Conde
90'