Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 11

Nov 24, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Holstein-Stadion

Holstein Kiel
0 - 3
Mainz

Erras (56')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Amiri (11'), Burkardt (37' pen.), Jae-sung (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Holstein Kiel

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-1 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, November 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Mainz 05

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Mainz 3-1 Dortmund
Saturday, November 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.43%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.

Result
Holstein Kiel	Draw	Mainz 05
32.79% ( 1.84)	23.56% ( 1.05)	43.65% ( -2.89)

Both teams to score 62.09% (

-3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.36% (

-4.3)

39.63% (

4.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.01% (

-4.63)

61.98% (

4.63)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.19% (

-1.01)

23.81% (

1.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.02% (

-1.48)

57.97% (

1.48)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.49% (

-2.81)

18.5% (

2.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.27% (

-4.97)

49.72% (

4.97)

Score Analysis

Holstein Kiel 32.79%

Mainz 05 43.65%

Draw 23.55%

Holstein Kiel	Draw	Mainz 05
2-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.41) 1-0 @ 6.32% ( 1.03) 2-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.63) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.22) 3-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.24) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.93% Total : 32.79%	1-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.87) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.25) 0-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.83) 3-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.3) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.55%	1-2 @ 9% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.81) 0-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 5.06% ( -0.54) 2-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.51) 0-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.26) 1-4 @ 2.14% ( -0.46) 2-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.39) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.27) Other @ 3.58% Total : 43.65%