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Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Oct 25, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
Borussia Monchengladbach logo

Mainz
1 - 1
Borussia M'bach

Lainer (55' og.)
Caci (74'), Widmer (89'), Amiri (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kleindienst (57')
Scally (40'), Sander (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 0-2 RB Leipzig
Saturday, October 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 3-2 Heidenheim
Saturday, October 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 42.49%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.5%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05DrawBorussia Monchengladbach
42.49% (0.030999999999999 0.03)22.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)34.53% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Both teams to score 64.87% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.75% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)36.25% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)58.37% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.39% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)17.61% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.81% (0.021000000000001 0.02)48.19% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.73% (-0.02300000000001 -0.02)21.27% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.81% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)54.19% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 42.49%
    Borussia Monchengladbach 34.53%
    Draw 22.97%
Mainz 05DrawBorussia Monchengladbach
2-1 @ 8.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 6.5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 5.65% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 5.06% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 3.92% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.27% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.42% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 42.49%
1-1 @ 10.06%
2-2 @ 6.77% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 3.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 2.02%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.97%
1-2 @ 7.79% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 5.8% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 4.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 4.02% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-3 @ 3.49% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.32% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.56% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 34.53%

How you voted: Mainz vs Borussia M'bach

Mainz 05
60.0%
Draw
23.6%
Borussia Monchengladbach
16.4%
110
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 24
Mainz
1-1
Borussia M'bach
Burkardt (12')
Barreiro (50'), Henriksen (57'), Kohr (58'), Mwene (81'), Amiri (90+3')
Kohr (83')
N'Goumou (55')
N'Goumou (43')
Oct 6, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 7
Borussia M'bach
2-2
Mainz
Neuhaus (22'), Scally (88')
Itakura (56'), Kone (81'), Hack (82')
Gruda (24'), Barkok (75')
Bell (66')
Feb 24, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 22
Mainz
4-0
Borussia M'bach
Jae-sung (25'), Ingvartsen (49'), Ajorque (72'), Weiper (90+3')
Sep 4, 2022 4.30pm
Apr 3, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 28
Borussia M'bach
1-1
Mainz
Embolo (33')
Embolo (10'), Ginter (28')
Onisiwo (73')
Barreiro (40')
rhs 2.0


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