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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 42.49%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.5%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 42.49% ( | 22.98% ( | 34.53% ( |
| Both teams to score 64.87% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.75% ( | 36.25% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.63% ( | 58.37% ( |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.39% ( | 17.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.81% ( | 48.19% ( |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.73% ( | 21.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.81% ( | 54.19% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 1-0 @ 6.5% ( 2-0 @ 5.65% ( 3-1 @ 5.06% ( 3-2 @ 3.92% ( 3-0 @ 3.27% ( 4-1 @ 2.2% ( 4-2 @ 1.7% ( 4-0 @ 1.42% ( Other @ 4.03% Total : 42.49% | 1-1 @ 10.06% 2-2 @ 6.77% ( 0-0 @ 3.74% ( 3-3 @ 2.02% Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.97% | 1-2 @ 7.79% ( 0-1 @ 5.8% ( 0-2 @ 4.49% ( 1-3 @ 4.02% ( 2-3 @ 3.49% ( 0-3 @ 2.32% ( 1-4 @ 1.56% ( 2-4 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 3.72% Total : 34.53% |