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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 48.55%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.25%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Werder Bremen in this match.
| Result | ||
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
| 29.53% ( | 21.91% ( | 48.55% ( |
| Both teams to score 66.44% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.8% ( | 33.19% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.05% ( | 54.94% ( |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.42% ( | 22.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.83% ( | 56.16% ( |
| Holstein Kiel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.8% ( | 14.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.09% ( | 41.9% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
| 2-1 @ 6.93% ( 1-0 @ 4.77% ( 2-0 @ 3.55% ( 3-1 @ 3.44% ( 3-2 @ 3.36% ( 3-0 @ 1.76% ( 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 4-2 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 3.2% Total : 29.53% | 1-1 @ 9.31% ( 2-2 @ 6.76% ( 0-0 @ 3.2% ( 3-3 @ 2.18% ( Other @ 0.45% Total : 21.91% | 1-2 @ 9.09% ( 0-1 @ 6.25% ( 0-2 @ 6.11% ( 1-3 @ 5.92% ( 2-3 @ 4.4% ( 0-3 @ 3.97% ( 1-4 @ 2.89% ( 2-4 @ 2.15% ( 0-4 @ 1.94% ( 1-5 @ 1.13% ( 3-4 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 3.65% Total : 48.56% |