DFB-Pokal | Round of 16

Dec 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Allianz Arena

Bayern
0 - 1
B. Leverkusen

Upamecano (13'), Goretzka (52')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tella (69')
Tapsoba (13'), Wirtz (22'), Kovar (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Bayern Munich and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions

DFB-Pokal

Last Game: Dortmund 1-1 Bayern
Saturday, November 30 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

DFB-Pokal

Last Game: Union Berlin 1-2 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, November 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 56.85%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 21.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Bayer Leverkusen win it was 1-2 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
56.85% ( -0.1)	22.11% ( -0.19)	21.04% ( 0.29)

Both teams to score 56.27% (

1.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.53% (

1.21)

42.47% (

-1.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.13% (

1.2)

64.87% (

-1.19)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.26% (

0.38)

14.74% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.04% (

0.72)

42.96% (

-0.72)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66% (

0.97)

34% (

-0.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.32% (

1.03)

70.68% (

-1.03)

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 56.85%

Bayer Leverkusen 21.04%

Draw 22.11%

Bayern Munich	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.6% ( -0.39) 2-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 6.33% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 2.81% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.86% Total : 56.85%	1-1 @ 10.35% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.27) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.11%	1-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 2.92% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.15% Total : 21.04%