Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 12

Nov 30, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Signal-Iduna-Park

Dortmund
1 - 1
Bayern

Bynoe-Gittens (27')
Ryerson (71'), Sahin (80'), Beier (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Musiala (85')
Sane (88'), Upamecano (90+3')

The Match

Match Report

Sports Mole looks at the highlights, man of the match, and stats from Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Bayern Munich.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 0-3 Dortmund
Wednesday, November 27 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Bayern 1-0 PSG
Tuesday, November 26 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Bayern Munich had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.79%) and 2-0 (5.27%). The likeliest Bayern Munich win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Bayern Munich
42.82% ( -2.55)	22.36% ( 0.74)	34.82% ( 1.81)

Both teams to score 67.37% (

-2.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.97% (

-3.17)

33.03% (

3.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.25% (

-3.73)

54.76% (

3.74)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.83% (

-2.16)

16.17% (

2.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.36% (

-4.09)

45.64% (

4.1)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.36% (

-0.58)

19.64% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.4% (

-0.97)

51.6% (

0.98)

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 42.82%

Bayern Munich 34.82%

Draw 22.36%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.54) 2-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 5.21% ( -0.39) 3-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.4) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.38) 4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.35) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.2) 4-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.21) Other @ 3.73% Total : 42.82%	1-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.72) 2-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.51) 3-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.27) Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.36%	1-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.45) 0-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.75) 0-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.54) 1-3 @ 4.16% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.26) 1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.08) 3-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.13) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.45% Total : 34.82%