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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Bayern Munich had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.79%) and 2-0 (5.27%). The likeliest Bayern Munich win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Bayern Munich |
42.82% ( -2.55) | 22.36% ( 0.74) | 34.82% ( 1.81) |
Both teams to score 67.37% ( -2.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.97% ( -3.17) | 33.03% ( 3.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.25% ( -3.73) | 54.76% ( 3.74) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.83% ( -2.16) | 16.17% ( 2.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.36% ( -4.09) | 45.64% ( 4.1) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.36% ( -0.58) | 19.64% ( 0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.4% ( -0.97) | 51.6% ( 0.98) |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Bayern Munich |
2-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.54) 2-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 5.21% ( -0.39) 3-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.4) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.38) 4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.35) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.2) 4-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.21) Other @ 3.73% Total : 42.82% | 1-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.72) 2-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.51) 3-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.27) Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.36% | 1-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.45) 0-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.75) 0-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.54) 1-3 @ 4.16% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.26) 1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.08) 3-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.13) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.45% Total : 34.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 41 | 10 | 31 | 33 |
2 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 27 |
3 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 26 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
5 | Wolfsburg | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 21 |
6 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 21 |
7 | Freiburg | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
8 | Stuttgart | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 20 |
9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 19 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 19 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 18 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 16 |
13 | Augsburg | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
15 | St Pauli | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 34 | -24 | 2 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |