Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 39.25%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 38.09% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.74%) and 2-0 (4.91%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.