Bundesliga Gameweek 11
Dortmund
Nov 23, 2024 2.30pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
Freiburg
  • Maximilian Beier 7' goal
  • Felix Nmecha 40' goal
  • Julian Brandt 66' goal
  • Jamie Bynoe-Gittens 77' goal
  • Yan Couto 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Patrick Osterhage 58'
  • redcard Patrick Osterhage 63'
  • redcard Chukwubuike Adamu 90'+3'

Borussia Dortmund vs Freiburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Last game
Nov 9, 2024 2.30pm
Mainz 3 - 1 Dortmund
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Serhou Guirassy

Freiburg

All competitions
Last game
Nov 8, 2024 7.30pm
Union Berlin 0 - 0 Freiburg
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Ritsu Doan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 67.46%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 14.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 1-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result

Borussia Dortmund 67.46% ▲ (+0.44)
Draw 18.4% ▼ (-0.06)
Freiburg 14.14% ▼ (-0.39)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.87% ▼ (-0.87)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.56% ▼ (-0.62)
Under 2.5 37.43% ▲ (+0.61)
Over 3.5 40.34% ▼ (-0.67)
Under 3.5 59.65% ▲ (+0.66)
Over 4.5 22.41% ▼ (-0.54)
Under 4.5 77.58% ▲ (+0.54)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5 89.79% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 0.5 10.21% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 1.5 66.5% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 1.5 33.49% ▲ (+0.14)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5 61.11% ▼ (-0.93)
Under 0.5 38.89% ▲ (+0.92)
Over 1.5 24.38% ▼ (-0.88)
Under 1.5 75.62% ▲ (+0.88)

Score analysis

Borussia Dortmund 67.45%
Draw 18.4%
Freiburg 14.14%
Borussia Dortmund
2-0 @ 10.33% ▲ (+0.25)
2-1 @ 9.76% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.06% ▲ (+0.25)
3-0 @ 7.86% ▲ (+0.18)
3-1 @ 7.43% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 4.49% ▲ (+0.09)
4-1 @ 4.24% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.51% ▼ (-0.10)
5-0 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 2% ▼ (-0.07)
5-1 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.8%
Total : 67.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.55% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.61% ▼ (-0.12)
0-0 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.12)
3-3 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 18.4%
Freiburg
1-2 @ 4.04% ▼ (-0.10)
0-1 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 14.14%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 21
Dortmund
Feb 9, 2024 7.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
Freiburg
  • Julian Ryerson 14' yellowcard
  • Donyell Malen 16' goal
  • Donyell Malen 45'+7' goal
  • Donyell Malen 73' yellowcard
  • Niclas Fullkrug 87' goal
Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Freiburg
Sep 16, 2023 2.30pm
2
4
HT : 2 1
FT Schwarzwald-Stadion
Dortmund
  • Lucas Holer 45'+2' goal
  • Nicolas Hofler 45'+6' goal
  • Nicolas Hofler 82' redcard
  • Philipp Lienhart 87' yellowcard
  • Maximilian Eggestein 89' yellowcard
  • goal Mats Hummels 11'
  • yellowcard Ramy Bensebaini 45'+4'
  • goal Donyell Malen 60'
  • yellowcard Marius Wolf 68'
  • yellowcard Emre Can 78'
  • goal Mats Hummels 88'
  • goal Marco Reus 90'+2'
Bundesliga Gameweek 19
Dortmund
Feb 4, 2023 2.30pm
5
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Freiburg
  • Nico Schlotterbeck 26' goal
  • Karim Adeyemi 48' goal
  • Sebastien Haller 51' goal
  • Julian Brandt 69' goal
  • Giovanni Reyna 82' goal
  • goal Lucas Holer 45'
Bundesliga Gameweek 2
Freiburg
Aug 12, 2022 7.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT
Dortmund
  • Michael Gregoritsch 35' goal
  • Daniel-Kofi Kyereh 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thomas Meunier 33'
  • yellowcard Jude Bellingham 60'
  • yellowcard Nico Schlotterbeck 67'
  • goal Jamie Bynoe-Gittens 77'
  • goal Youssoufa Moukoko 84'
  • goal Marius Wolf 88'
Bundesliga Gameweek 19
Dortmund
Jan 14, 2022 7.30pm
5
1
HT : 3 0
FT
Freiburg
  • Thomas Meunier 14' goal
  • Thomas Meunier 29' goal
  • Erling Braut Haaland 45'+1' goal
  • Erling Braut Haaland 75' goal
  • Julian Brandt 76' yellowcard
  • Mahmoud Dahoud 86' goal
  • Erling Braut Haaland 88' yellowcard
  • goal Ermedin Demirovic 61'
Bundesliga Gameweek 2
Freiburg
Aug 21, 2021 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Schwarzwald-Stadion
Dortmund
  • Vincenzo Grifo 6' goal
  • Roland Sallai 53' goal
  • Ermedin Demirovic 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Donyell Malen 19'
  • yellowcard Mahmoud Dahoud 34'
  • goal Yannik Keitel 59' (OG)
  • yellowcard Manuel Akanji 61'
  • yellowcard Raphael Guerreiro 76'

Form Data

Mainz 3 - 1 Dortmund
Dortmund 1 - 0 Sturm Graz
Dortmund 2 - 1 RB Leipzig
Wolfsburg 1 - 0 Dortmund
Augsburg 2 - 1 Dortmund
Real Madrid 5 - 2 Dortmund
Union Berlin 0 - 0 Freiburg
Freiburg 0 - 0 Mainz
Freiburg 2 - 1 Hamburger SV
RB Leipzig 3 - 1 Freiburg
Freiburg 3 - 1 Augsburg
Werder Bremen 0 - 1 Freiburg