Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 11

Nov 23, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Signal-Iduna-Park

Dortmund
4 - 0
Freiburg

Beier (7'), Nmecha (40'), Brandt (66'), Bynoe-Gittens (77')
Couto (80')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Osterhage (58')
Osterhage (63'), Adamu (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Mainz 3-1 Dortmund
Saturday, November 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Freiburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Union Berlin 0-0 Freiburg
Friday, November 8 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 67.46%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 14.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 1-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Freiburg
67.46% ( 0.44)	18.4% ( -0.06)	14.14% ( -0.38)

Both teams to score 54.87% (

-0.86)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.56% (

-0.61)

37.43% (

0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.34% (

-0.66)

59.65% (

0.65)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.79% (

-0.06)

10.21% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.5% (

-0.14)

33.49% (

0.13)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.11% (

-0.92)

38.89% (

0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.38% (

-0.88)

75.62% (

0.87)

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 67.45%

Freiburg 14.14%

Draw 18.4%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Freiburg
2-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.24) 3-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 4.24% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 2% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.89% Total : 67.45%	1-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.16% Total : 18.4%	1-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.86% Total : 14.14%