Champions League

Champions League | League Stage

Nov 26, 2024 at 8pm UK

Allianz Arena

Bayern
1 - 0
PSG

Min-jae (38')
Coman (67'), Olise (77'), Gnabry (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Dembele (37'), Hakimi (57'), Mendes (71'), Ruiz (90+5')
Dembele (57')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Bayern 3-0 Augsburg
Friday, November 22 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: PSG 3-0 Toulouse
Friday, November 22 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 58.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 19.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Paris Saint-Germain win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bayern Munich in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayern Munich.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
58.18% ( -0.46)	22.29% ( 0.1)	19.53% ( 0.37)

Both teams to score 53.23% (

0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.67% (

0.12)

45.34% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.33% (

0.11)

67.67% (

-0.11)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.72% (

-0.11)

15.28% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.01% (

-0.21)

43.99% (

0.21)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.83% (

0.46)

37.17% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.04% (

0.46)

73.96% (

-0.45)

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 58.18%

Paris Saint-Germain 19.53%

Draw 22.29%

Bayern Munich	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
1-0 @ 10.67% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 10.02% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 6.21% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 58.18%	1-1 @ 10.56% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.29%	0-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.64% Total : 19.53%