Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12

Nov 22, 2024 at 8pm UK

Parc des Princes

PSG
3 - 0
Toulouse

Neves (35'), Beraldo (84'), Vitinha (90+1')
Hakimi (44')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Aboukhlal (43'), Donnum (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Angers 2-4 PSG
Saturday, November 9 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Toulouse

All competitions

Last Game: Rennes 0-2 Toulouse
Sunday, November 10 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 63.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 15.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Toulouse win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Toulouse
63.51% ( -1.25)	20.54% ( 0.73)	15.95% ( 0.52)

Both teams to score 51.92% (

-1.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.44% (

-2.28)

43.56% (

2.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.05% (

-2.28)

65.95% (

2.28)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.94% (

-1.05)

13.06% (

1.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.37% (

-2.17)

39.63% (

2.18)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.71% (

-0.72)

40.29% (

0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.09% (

-0.66)

76.91% (

0.67)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 63.5%

Toulouse 15.95%

Draw 20.54%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Toulouse
2-0 @ 10.9% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.64) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.27) 4-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.28) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.18) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.16) 5-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.16) 5-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.18) Other @ 3.13% Total : 63.5%	1-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.4) 0-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.54%	0-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 1.87% Total : 15.95%