Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 46.55%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.