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AJ Auxerre
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Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Rennes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Nov 10, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Paul Audrin
Toulouse

Rennes
0 - 2
Toulouse


Gouiri (41'), Assignon (44'), Truffert (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
King (14'), Donnum (23' og.)
Casseres Jr (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Rennes and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Auxerre 4-0 Rennes
Sunday, November 3 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 1-0 Reims
Sunday, November 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 46.55%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result
RennesDrawToulouse
46.55% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)25.13% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)28.32% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Both teams to score 54.17% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.06% (0.058999999999997 0.06)48.94% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.97% (0.052 0.05)71.03% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.95% (0.028000000000006 0.03)21.05% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.15% (0.045000000000002 0.05)53.85% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.62% (0.031000000000006 0.03)31.38% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.25% (0.039000000000001 0.04)67.75% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Rennes 46.55%
    Toulouse 28.32%
    Draw 25.12%
RennesDrawToulouse
1-0 @ 10.29% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.3% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.02% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.83% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.17% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.62% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 46.55%
1-1 @ 11.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.61% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 7.66% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.91% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 4.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 28.32%

How you voted: Rennes vs Toulouse

Rennes
40.0%
Draw
26.7%
Toulouse
33.3%
60
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 29
Rennes
1-2
Toulouse
Doue (20')
Gouiri (60'), Yildirim (88'), Salah (90+1')
Casseres Jr (22'), Diarra (32')
Mawissa (34'), Spierings (81'), Restes (88')
Dec 17, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 16
Toulouse
0-0
Rennes
Dallinga (45'), Costa (51'), Diarra (90+1')
Le Fee (6'), Omari (10')
Feb 12, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 23
Toulouse
3-1
Rennes
Ratao (27'), Aboukhlal (28'), Dallinga (37')
Rouault (55' og.)
Nov 12, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 15
Rennes
2-1
Toulouse
Bourigeaud (25'), Kalimuendo (58')
Dallinga (55')
Feb 29, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 27
Toulouse
0-2
Rennes

Sangare (23'), Vainqueur (33'), Diakite (45')
Bourigeaud (3'), Maouassa (83')
Traore (29')