Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 36.81%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.