Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8

Oct 20, 2024 at 4pm UK

Stade de l'Abbe Deschamps

Auxerre
2 - 1
Reims

Diomande (16'), Traore (52')
Traore (23'), Akpa (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Nakamura (90+5')
Atangana Edoa (1'), Buta (56'), Munetsi (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Auxerre and Reims, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Auxerre

All competitions

Last Game: St Etienne 3-1 Auxerre
Saturday, October 5 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Reims

All competitions

Last Game: Reims 4-2 Montpellier
Sunday, October 6 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Reims had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Reims win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.

Result
Auxerre	Draw	Reims
41.57% ( 0.07)	25.64% ( 0.04)	32.79% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 54.77% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.81% (

-0.17)

49.2% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.74% (

-0.16)

71.26% (

0.16)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.52% (

-0.04)

23.48% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.5% (

-0.06)

57.5% (

0.06)

Reims Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.57% (

-0.15)

28.43% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.82% (

-0.19)

64.18% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Auxerre 41.57%

Reims 32.79%

Draw 25.64%

Auxerre	Draw	Reims
1-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.26% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.02% Total : 41.57%	1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.64%	0-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.65% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 32.79%