Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10

Nov 3, 2024 at 4pm UK

Stade de l'Abbe Deschamps

Auxerre
4 - 0
Rennes

Perrin (27', 39'), Sinayoko (64' pen.), Onaiwu (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Matusiwa (35'), Faye (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Auxerre and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Auxerre

All competitions

Last Game: Lyon 2-2 Auxerre
Sunday, October 27 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Rennes

All competitions

Last Game: Rennes 1-0 Le Havre
Friday, October 25 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.

Result
Auxerre	Draw	Rennes
38.28% ( 0.19)	26.56% ( -0.13)	35.16% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 52.29% (

0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.4% (

0.52)

52.6% (

-0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.74% (

0.45)

74.26% (

-0.44)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.23% (

0.35)

26.77% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.95% (

0.46)

62.05% (

-0.45)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.4% (

0.22)

28.6% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.6% (

0.27)

64.4% (

-0.27)

Score Analysis

Auxerre 38.27%

Rennes 35.16%

Draw 26.56%

Auxerre	Draw	Rennes
1-0 @ 10.08% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.65% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.19% Total : 38.27%	1-1 @ 12.63% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.56%	0-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 35.16%