Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 9

Oct 27, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stade Gerard Houllier

Lyon
2 - 2
Auxerre

Mikautadze (45+5' pen., 62')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Diomande (47'), Traore (72')
Diomande (44'), Jubal (45+7'), Leon (80'), Raveloson (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lyon 0-1 Besiktas
Thursday, October 24 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Auxerre

All competitions

Last Game: Auxerre 2-1 Reims
Sunday, October 20 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 55.16%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 23.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Lyon	Draw	Auxerre
55.16% ( 0.52)	21.8% ( -0.15)	23.03% ( -0.37)

Both teams to score 60.23% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.45% (

0.29)

38.55% (

-0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.15% (

0.31)

60.85% (

-0.31)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.05% (

0.27)

13.95% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.57% (

0.52)

41.43% (

-0.52)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.99% (

-0.15)

30.01% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.87% (

-0.18)

66.13% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Lyon 55.16%

Auxerre 23.04%

Draw 21.8%

Lyon	Draw	Auxerre
2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.25% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.45% Total : 55.16%	1-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.8%	1-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.01% Total : 23.04%