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Serie A | Gameweek 21
Jan 19, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Venezia

Parma
1 - 1
Venezia

Hernani (56' pen.)
Keita (18'), Hainaut (87'), Hainaut (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pohjanpalo (20' pen.)
Candela (32'), Steinn Bjarkason (74'), Carboni (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Parma and Venezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Genoa 1-0 Parma
Sunday, January 12 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Venezia 0-1 Inter Milan
Sunday, January 12 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Parma 2-1 Venezia

Parma are starting to pick up more points on home turf, and they should have enough firepower to extend a positive record against Venezia. The Lagunari do not travel well, so another away defeat beckons - leaving them languishing in the relegation zone. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 52.25%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 24.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Venezia win was 0-1 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
ParmaDrawVenezia
52.25% (-0.45800000000001 -0.46) 23.55% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 24.21% (0.367 0.37)
Both teams to score 55.64% (0.118 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.72% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)45.28% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.38% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)67.62% (0.038000000000011 0.04)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.67% (-0.184 -0.18)17.33% (0.183 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.3% (-0.322 -0.32)47.7% (0.321 0.32)
Venezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.3% (0.292 0.29)32.7% (-0.293 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.75% (0.326 0.33)69.25% (-0.327 -0.33)
Score Analysis
    Parma 52.25%
    Venezia 24.21%
    Draw 23.55%
ParmaDrawVenezia
1-0 @ 9.93% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.71% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.69% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.09% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.49% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.23% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 52.25%
1-1 @ 11.1% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.67% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.55%
0-1 @ 6.33% (0.061 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.21% (0.072 0.07)
0-2 @ 3.54% (0.062 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.31% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.03% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 24.21%

How you voted: Parma vs Venezia

Parma
77.6%
Draw
18.4%
Venezia
4.1%
49
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 12
Venezia
1-2
Parma
Nicolussi (5')
Andersen (84')
Valeri (17'), Bonny (68')
Cancellieri (50'), Charpentier (90')
Feb 3, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 23
Parma
2-1
Venezia
Mihaila (21'), Camara (90+10')
Di Chiara (90+8'), Camara (90+11')
Oct 7, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 9
Venezia
3-2
Parma
Busio (46'), Tessmann (63'), Egill Ellertsson (78')
Benedyczak (54' pen.), Colak (90+3')
Hernani (35'), Di Chiara (36')
May 19, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 38
Parma
2-1
Venezia
Vazquez (12' pen.), Camara (78')
Bernabe (25'), Camara (89')
Dec 26, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 19
Venezia
2-2
Parma
Pohjanpalo (70'), Pierini (82')
Vazquez (45' pen., 50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli24174339172255
2Inter Milan23156256223451
3Atalanta BCAtalanta24155454262850
4Lazio24143745321345
5Juventus241013141212043
6Fiorentina23126540231742
7AC Milan23108535241138
8Bologna2391133527838
9Roma249783529634
10Udinese2486102937-830
11Torino2461082528-328
12Genoa246992233-1127
13CagliariCagliari2466122639-1324
14Lecce2466121841-2324
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2472152653-2723
16Como2457122840-1222
17Empoli2449112235-1321
18Parma2448123044-1420
19VeneziaVenezia2437142239-1716
20Monza2427152139-1813


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