/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fgenlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fparlog.png)
-
Milan Badelj
4'
-
Lior Kasa
64'
-
Morten Frendrup
65'
-
Lautaro Valenti
7'
-
Hernani
36'
-
Fabio Pecchia
39'
-
Enrico Del Prato
74'
Genoa vs Parma - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F49%2Fpatrick-vieira.jpeg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Parma had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Genoa in this match.
Result
Genoa
41.81%
▼
(-0.11)
Draw
26.61%
▲
(+0.04)
Parma
31.59%
▲
(+0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
51.24%
▼
(-0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5
46.46%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 2.5
53.55%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 3.5
24.94%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 3.5
75.06%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 4.5
11.32%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 4.5
88.68%
▲
(+0.07)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5
74.7%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 0.5
25.3%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 1.5
39.93%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 1.5
60.07%
▲
(+0.15)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5
68.6%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
31.4%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
32.22%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
67.78%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Genoa
41.8%
Draw
26.6%
Parma
31.59%
Genoa
1-0
@
10.91%
▲
(+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.69% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.5% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.98% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 41.8%
2-1 @ 8.69% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.5% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.98% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 41.8%
Draw
1-1
@
12.64%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.95% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.03% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.6%
0-0 @ 7.95% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.03% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.6%
Parma
0-1
@
9.2%
▲
(+0.04)
1-2 @ 7.32% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.33% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 31.59%
1-2 @ 7.32% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.33% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 31.59%
Head to Head
-
Morten Frendrup
16'
-
Milan Badelj
27'
-
Albert Gudmundsson
40'
-
Silvan Hefti
42'
-
Massimo Coda
51'
-
Mattia Bani
63'
-
Albert Gudmundsson
90'+2'
-
Roberto Inglese
21'
-
Franco Vazquez
23'
-
Valentin Mihaila
37'
-
Stanko Juric
45'
-
Woyo Coulibaly
53'
-
Nahuel Estevez
89'
-
Alessandro Circati
90'+4'