Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 20

Jan 12, 2025 at 11.30am UK

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
1 - 0
Parma

Frendrup (65')
Badelj (4'), Kasa (64')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Valenti (7'), Hernani (36'), Pecchia (39'), Del Prato (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Parma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

All competitions

Last Game: Lecce 0-0 Genoa
Sunday, January 5 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Parma

All competitions

Last Game: Torino 0-0 Parma
Sunday, January 5 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Parma had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Genoa in this match.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Parma
41.81% ( -0.1)	26.61% ( 0.03)	31.59% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 51.24% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.46% (

-0.11)

53.55% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.94% (

-0.1)

75.06% (

0.1)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.7% (

-0.1)

25.3% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.93% (

-0.14)

60.07% (

0.14)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.6% (

-0.01)

31.4% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.22% (

-0.01)

67.78% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Genoa 41.8%

Parma 31.59%

Draw 26.6%

Genoa	Draw	Parma
1-0 @ 10.91% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 41.8%	1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.6%	0-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 31.59%