Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 18

Dec 28, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stadio Carlo Castellani

Empoli
1 - 2
Genoa

Esposito (74')
D'Aversa (52'), Gyasi (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Badelj (46'), Ekuban (68')
Thorsby (66'), Vitinha (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Atalanta 3-2 Empoli
Sunday, December 22 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Genoa

All competitions

Last Game: Genoa 1-2 Napoli
Saturday, December 21 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 42.12%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 28.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.63%) and 2-1 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.28%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.

Result
Empoli	Draw	Genoa
42.12% ( -0.04)	29.7%	28.18% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 41.3% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.67% (

0.02)

65.33% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.88% (

0.01)

84.12% (

-0.01)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.24% (

-0.02)

30.75% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.98% (

-0.02)

67.02% (

0.02)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.64% (

0.05)

40.36% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.02% (

0.04)

76.98% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Empoli 42.12%

Genoa 28.18%

Draw 29.69%

Empoli	Draw	Genoa
1-0 @ 14.63% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.83% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.08% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 1.25% Total : 42.12%	1-1 @ 13.28% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.41% 2-2 @ 3.55% ( 0) Other @ 0.45% Total : 29.69%	0-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 1.34% Total : 28.18%