Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Lecce | Draw | Genoa |
| 38.06% ( | 27.26% ( | 34.68% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.99% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.52% ( | 55.48% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.33% ( | 76.66% ( |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.74% | 28.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.03% ( | 63.97% ( |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.68% ( | 30.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.5% ( | 66.5% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lecce | Draw | Genoa |
| 1-0 @ 10.82% ( 2-1 @ 8.17% ( 2-0 @ 6.84% ( 3-1 @ 3.44% ( 3-0 @ 2.88% ( 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 4-1 @ 1.09% ( 4-0 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 1.85% Total : 38.05% | 1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 8.57% ( 2-2 @ 4.87% ( Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.26% | 0-1 @ 10.22% 1-2 @ 7.71% ( 0-2 @ 6.1% ( 1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0-3 @ 2.43% ( 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 1-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.3% Total : 34.68% |