Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 50.19%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 25.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.