Coppa Italia
AC Milan
Feb 5, 2025 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Roma
  • Tammy Abraham 17' goal
  • Tammy Abraham 43' goal
  • Joao Felix 70' goal
  • goal Artem Dovbyk 55'
  • yellowcard Kouadio Kone 70'

AC Milan vs Roma - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

Roma

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 45.94%. A win for Roma had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result

AC Milan 45.94% ▼ (-2.59)
Draw 25.06% ▲ (+0.61)
Roma 29.01% ▲ (+1.99)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.87% ▼ (-0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.76% ▼ (-1.39)
Under 2.5 48.24% ▲ (+1.39)
Over 3.5 29.61% ▼ (-1.29)
Under 3.5 70.39% ▲ (+1.28)
Over 4.5 14.41% ▼ (-0.89)
Under 4.5 85.59% ▲ (+0.89)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 78.97% ▼ (-1.66)
Under 0.5 21.03% ▲ (+1.66)
Over 1.5 46.18% ▼ (-2.66)
Under 1.5 53.82% ▲ (+2.66)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5 69.49% ▲ (+0.76)
Under 0.5 30.51% ▼ (-0.76)
Over 1.5 33.27% ▲ (+0.89)
Under 1.5 66.73% ▼ (-0.89)

Score analysis

AC Milan 45.93%
Draw 25.05%
Roma 29.01%
AC Milan
1-0 @ 10% ▲ (+0.06)
2-1 @ 9.26% ▼ (-0.23)
2-0 @ 7.8% ▼ (-0.36)
3-1 @ 4.81% ▼ (-0.38)
3-0 @ 4.05% ▼ (-0.42)
3-2 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.17)
4-1 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.26)
4-0 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.26)
4-2 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 45.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.87% ▲ (+0.32)
0-0 @ 6.42% ▲ (+0.36)
2-2 @ 5.5% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.05%
Roma
0-1 @ 7.62% ▲ (+0.58)
1-2 @ 7.05% ▲ (+0.34)
0-2 @ 4.52% ▲ (+0.43)
1-3 @ 2.79% ▲ (+0.19)
2-3 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.21)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 29.01%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 18
AC Milan
Dec 29, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Roma
  • Tijjani Reijnders 16' goal
  • Paulo Fonseca 40' yellowcard
  • Paulo Fonseca 43' redcard
  • Theo Hernandez 43' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Morata 44' yellowcard
  • Tijjani Reijnders 82' yellowcard
  • Matteo Gabbia 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kouadio Kone 4'
  • yellowcard Mats Hummels 13'
  • goal Paulo Dybala 23'
  • yellowcard Leandro Paredes 67'
  • yellowcard Zeki Celik 71'
Club Friendlies 1
Roma
May 31, 2024 12.00pm
5
2
HT : 2 1
FT Optus Stadium
AC Milan
  • Tommaso Baldanzi 28' goal
  • Tammy Abraham 45'+2' goal
  • Angelino 54' goal
  • Paulo Dybala 57' goal
  • Sardar Azmoun 77' goal
  • goal Theo Hernandez 37'
  • goal Noah Okafor 55'
Europa League
Roma
Apr 18, 2024 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
AC Milan
  • Gianluca Mancini 12' goal
  • Paulo Dybala 22' goal
  • Zeki Celik 31' redcard
  • yellowcard Davide Calabria 32'
  • yellowcard Matteo Gabbia 46'
  • yellowcard Yacine Adli 51'
  • yellowcard Luka Jovic 77'
  • goal Matteo Gabbia 85'
  • yellowcard Fikayo Tomori 89'
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 90'+2'
Europa League
AC Milan
Apr 11, 2024 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Roma
  • Stefano Pioli 17' yellowcard
  • Christian Pulisic 33' yellowcard
  • Yacine Adli 63' yellowcard
  • Ruben Loftus-Cheek 73' yellowcard
  • goal Gianluca Mancini 17'
  • yellowcard Bryan Cristante 38'
Serie A Gameweek 20
AC Milan
Jan 14, 2024 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Roma
  • Yacine Adli 11' goal
  • Olivier Giroud 56' goal
  • Simon Kjaer 71' yellowcard
  • Theo Hernandez 84' goal
  • Matteo Gabbia 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gianluca Mancini 43'
  • yellowcard Bryan Cristante 56'
  • goal Leandro Paredes 69'
  • yellowcard Dean Huijsen 81'
Serie A Gameweek 3
Roma
Sep 1, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Olimpico
AC Milan
  • Leandro Paredes 69' yellowcard
  • Romelu Lukaku 85' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Spinazzola 90'+2' goal
  • goal Olivier Giroud 9'
  • yellowcard Fikayo Tomori 19'
  • yellowcard Ruben Loftus-Cheek 34'
  • goal Rafael Leao 48'
  • redcard Fikayo Tomori 61'
  • yellowcard Noah Okafor 90'+7'

Form Data

AC Milan 1 - 1 Inter Milan
Dinamo Zagreb 2 - 1 AC Milan
AC Milan 3 - 2 Parma
AC Milan 1 - 0 Girona
Juventus 2 - 0 AC Milan
Como 1 - 2 AC Milan
Roma 1 - 1 Napoli
Roma 2 - 0 Frankfurt
Udinese 1 - 2 Roma
AZ 1 - 0 Roma
Roma 3 - 1 Genoa
Bologna 2 - 2 Roma