Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 74.03%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Parma had a probability of 9.68%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.47%) and 3-0 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Parma |
74.03% (![]() | 16.28% (![]() | 9.68% (![]() |
Both teams to score 47.43% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.47% (![]() | 39.53% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.12% (![]() | 61.87% (![]() |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.82% (![]() | 9.18% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.9% (![]() | 31.09% (![]() |
Parma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.23% (![]() | 47.77% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.94% (![]() | 83.06% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Parma |
2-0 @ 12.5% (![]() 1-0 @ 10.47% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 9.96% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.24% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.36% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5.95% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.39% 5-0 @ 2.84% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.72% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.1% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 3.77% Total : 74.03% | 1-1 @ 7.74% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.38% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.41% ( ![]() Other @ 0.75% Total : 16.28% | 0-1 @ 3.24% (![]() 1-2 @ 2.86% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.2% ( ![]() Other @ 2.39% Total : 9.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Inter Milan | 24 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 58 | 23 | 35 | 54 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 54 | 26 | 28 | 50 |
4 | Lazio | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 45 |
5 | Juventus | 24 | 10 | 13 | 1 | 41 | 21 | 20 | 43 |
6 | Fiorentina | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 42 |
7 | AC Milan | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 38 |
8 | Bologna | 23 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 38 |
9 | Roma | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 34 |
10 | Udinese | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 37 | -8 | 30 |
11 | Torino | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 28 |
12 | Genoa | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 27 |
13 | CagliariCagliari | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 24 |
14 | Lecce | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 24 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 24 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 26 | 53 | -27 | 23 |
16 | Como | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 22 |
17 | Empoli | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 21 |
18 | Parma | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 20 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 16 |
20 | Monza | 24 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |