Serie A Gameweek 22
AC Milan
Jan 26, 2025 11.30am
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Parma
  • Strahinja Pavlovic 12' yellowcard
  • Christian Pulisic 38' goal
  • Youssouf Fofana 43' yellowcard
  • Tijjani Reijnders 90'+2' goal
  • Samuel Chukwueze 90'+5' goal
  • goal Matteo Cancellieri 24'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Vogliacco 33'
  • yellowcard Simon Sohm 37'
  • yellowcard Enrico Del Prato 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Anas Haj Mohamed 74'
  • goal Enrico Del Prato 80'
  • yellowcard Antoine Hainaut 85'

AC Milan vs Parma - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Jan 18, 2025 5.00pm
Juventus 2 - 0 AC Milan
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Christian Pulisic

Parma

All competitions
Last game
Jan 19, 2025 2.00pm
Parma 1 - 1 Venezia
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Ange-Yoan Bonny

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 74.03%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Parma had a probability of 9.68%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.47%) and 3-0 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result

AC Milan 74.03% ▲ (+0.27)
Draw 16.28% ▼ (-0.10)
Parma 9.68% ▼ (-0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.43% ▼ (-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.47% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 39.53% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 3.5 38.12% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 61.87% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 4.5 20.65% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 4.5 79.34% ▲ (+0.07)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 90.82% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 9.18% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 68.9% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 31.09% ▼ (-0.10)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5 52.23% ▼ (-0.39)
Under 0.5 47.77% ▲ (+0.40)
Over 1.5 16.94% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 1.5 83.06% ▲ (+0.30)

Score analysis

AC Milan 74.03%
Draw 16.28%
Parma 9.68%
AC Milan
2-0 @ 12.5% ▲ (+0.09)
1-0 @ 10.47% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 9.96% ▲ (+0.10)
2-1 @ 9.24% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 7.36% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 5.95% ▲ (+0.07)
4-1 @ 4.39%
5-0 @ 2.84% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.04)
5-1 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.02)
6-0 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 74.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.74% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.38% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.41% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 16.28%
Parma
0-1 @ 3.24% ▼ (-0.03)
1-2 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 9.68%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 2
Parma
Aug 24, 2024 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Ennio Tardini
AC Milan
  • Dennis Man 2' goal
  • Matteo Cancellieri 77' goal
  • yellowcard Strahinja Pavlovic 34'
  • goal Christian Pulisic 66'
  • yellowcard Emerson 88'
  • yellowcard Ruben Loftus-Cheek 90'+2'
Serie A Gameweek 30
Parma
Apr 10, 2021 5.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
AC Milan
  • Mattia Bani 10' yellowcard
  • Giuseppe Pezzella 37' yellowcard
  • Riccardo Gagliolo 38' yellowcard
  • Juraj Kucka 64' yellowcard
  • Riccardo Gagliolo 66' goal
  • goal Ante Rebic 8'
  • yellowcard Hakan Calhanoglu 24'
  • goal Franck Kessie 44'
  • redcard Zlatan Ibrahimovic 60'
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 78'
  • yellowcard Franck Kessie 81'
  • yellowcard Soualiho Meite 90'
  • goal Rafael Leao 90'+4'
Serie A Gameweek 11
AC Milan
Dec 13, 2020 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Parma
  • Theo Hernandez 35' yellowcard
  • Theo Hernandez 58' goal
  • Davide Calabria 80' yellowcard
  • Pierre Kalulu 83' yellowcard
  • Theo Hernandez 90'+1' goal
  • goal Hernani 13'
  • yellowcard Yordan Osorio 41'
  • goal Jasmin Kurtic 56'
  • yellowcard Simone Iacoponi 65'
  • yellowcard Roberto Inglese 77'
Serie A Gameweek 33
AC Milan
Jul 15, 2020 6.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Giuseppe Meazza
Parma
  • Andrea Conti 33' yellowcard
  • Franck Kessie 55' goal
  • Alessio Romagnoli 59' goal
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 77' goal
  • yellowcard Alberto Grassi 33'
  • goal Jasmin Kurtic 44'
  • yellowcard Matteo Darmian 65'
Serie A Gameweek 14
Parma
Dec 1, 2019 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma)
AC Milan
  • Simone Iacoponi 61' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ismael Bennacer 58'
  • goal Theo Hernandez 88'
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 89'
  • yellowcard Gianluigi Donnarumma 90'
Serie A Gameweek 33
Parma
Apr 20, 2019 11.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma)
AC Milan
  • Bruno Alves 87' goal
  • goal Samu Castillejo 69'
  • yellowcard Lucas Biglia 82'

Form Data

AC Milan 1 - 0 Girona
Juventus 2 - 0 AC Milan
Como 1 - 2 AC Milan
AC Milan 1 - 1 Cagliari
Inter Milan 2 - 3 AC Milan
Juventus 1 - 2 AC Milan
Parma 1 - 1 Venezia
Genoa 1 - 0 Parma
Torino 0 - 0 Parma
Parma 2 - 1 Monza
Roma 5 - 0 Parma
Parma 2 - 3 Hellas Verona