Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 21

Jan 18, 2025 at 5pm UK

Allianz Stadium

Juventus
2 - 0
AC Milan

Mbangula (59'), Weah (64')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bennacer (61'), Emerson (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Juventus and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventus

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Atalanta 1-1 Juventus
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Como 1-2 AC Milan
Tuesday, January 14 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
Juventus	Draw	AC Milan
40.28% ( 0.35)	25.74% ( 0.09)	33.98% ( -0.43)

Both teams to score 54.77% (

-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.66% (

-0.44)

49.34% (

0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.62% (

-0.4)

71.39% (

0.41)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.8% (

-0.02)

24.2% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.47% (

-0.02)

58.53% (

0.03)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.25% (

-0.48)

27.75% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.68% (

-0.62)

63.32% (

0.62)

Score Analysis

Juventus 40.28%

AC Milan 33.98%

Draw 25.74%

Juventus	Draw	AC Milan
1-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.89% Total : 40.28%	1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.74%	0-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.83% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.87% Total : 33.98%