/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fjuvlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmillog_1.png)
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Samuel Mbangula
59'
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Timothy Weah
64'
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Ismael Bennacer
61'
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Emerson
72'
Juventus vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result
Juventus
40.28%
▲
(+0.36)
Draw
25.74%
▲
(+0.09)
AC Milan
33.98%
▼
(-0.43)
Both Teams to Score:
54.77%
▼
(-0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5
50.66%
▼
(-0.45)
Under 2.5
49.34%
▲
(+0.45)
Over 3.5
28.62%
▼
(-0.40)
Under 3.5
71.39%
▲
(+0.41)
Over 4.5
13.73%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 4.5
86.28%
▲
(+0.28)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5
75.8%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
24.2%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
41.47%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
58.53%
▲
(+0.04)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5
72.25%
▼
(-0.48)
Under 0.5
27.75%
▲
(+0.49)
Over 1.5
36.68%
▼
(-0.62)
Under 1.5
63.32%
▲
(+0.63)
Score analysis
Juventus
40.28%
Draw
25.74%
AC Milan
33.98%
Juventus
1-0
@
9.53%
▲
(+0.17)
2-1 @ 8.67% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.76% ▲ (+0.12)
3-1 @ 4.1% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 40.28%
2-1 @ 8.67% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.76% ▲ (+0.12)
3-1 @ 4.1% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 40.28%
Draw
1-1
@
12.21%
▲
(+0.06)
0-0 @ 6.71% ▲ (+0.13)
2-2 @ 5.56% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.74%
0-0 @ 6.71% ▲ (+0.13)
2-2 @ 5.56% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.74%
AC Milan
0-1
@
8.61%
▲
(+0.05)
1-2 @ 7.83% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 5.52% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.06)
1-4 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 33.98%
1-2 @ 7.83% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 5.52% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.06)
1-4 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 33.98%
