Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | AC Milan |
40.28% (![]() | 25.74% (![]() | 33.98% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.77% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.66% (![]() | 49.34% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.62% (![]() | 71.39% (![]() |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.8% (![]() | 24.2% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.47% (![]() | 58.53% (![]() |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.25% (![]() | 27.75% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.68% (![]() | 63.32% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | AC Milan |
1-0 @ 9.53% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.67% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.76% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.1% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.2% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.63% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.45% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.13% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 1.89% Total : 40.28% | 1-1 @ 12.21% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.71% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.56% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 8.61% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.83% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.52% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.35% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.37% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.36% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 2.87% Total : 33.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Inter Milan | 24 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 58 | 23 | 35 | 54 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 54 | 26 | 28 | 50 |
4 | Lazio | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 45 |
5 | Juventus | 24 | 10 | 13 | 1 | 41 | 21 | 20 | 43 |
6 | Fiorentina | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 42 |
7 | Bologna | 24 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 41 |
8 | AC Milan | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 38 |
9 | Roma | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 34 |
10 | Udinese | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 37 | -8 | 30 |
11 | Torino | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 28 |
12 | Genoa | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 27 |
13 | CagliariCagliari | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 24 |
14 | Lecce | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 24 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 24 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 26 | 53 | -27 | 23 |
16 | Como | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 22 |
17 | Empoli | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 21 |
18 | Parma | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 20 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 16 |
20 | Monza | 24 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |