Champions League

Champions League | League Stage

Jan 22, 2025 at 8pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
1 - 0
Girona

Leao (37', 37')
Calabria (41'), Calabria (41'), Hernandez (80'), Hernandez (80')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Gil (59'), Gil (59'), Martin (82'), Martin (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between AC Milan and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Juventus 2-0 AC Milan
Saturday, January 18 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Girona

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Girona 1-2 Sevilla
Saturday, January 18 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 56.12%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Girona had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AC Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AC Milan.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Girona
56.12% ( 0.13)	23.48% ( 0.13)	20.4% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 50.86% (

-0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.82% (

-0.82)

49.19% (

0.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.75% (

-0.74)

71.25% (

0.74)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.66% (

-0.25)

17.34% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.27% (

-0.44)

47.73% (

0.44)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.53% (

-0.73)

38.47% (

0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.78% (

-0.7)

75.22% (

0.7)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 56.11%

Girona 20.4%

Draw 23.47%

AC Milan	Draw	Girona
1-0 @ 11.68% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.71% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 2.62% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.76% Total : 56.11%	1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.97% Total : 23.47%	0-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.49% Total : 20.4%