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Rafael Leao
37'
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Rafael Leao
37'
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Davide Calabria
41'
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Davide Calabria
41'
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Theo Hernandez
80'
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Theo Hernandez
80'
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Bryan Gil
59'
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Bryan Gil
59'
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Ivan Martin
82'
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Ivan Martin
82'
AC Milan vs Girona - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 56.12%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Girona had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AC Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AC Milan.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
AC Milan Goals
Girona Goals
Score analysis
2-0 @ 10.23% ▲ (+0.17)
2-1 @ 9.78% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 5.98% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.09)
4-0 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 56.11%
0-0 @ 6.67% ▲ (+0.23)
2-2 @ 4.67% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 23.47%
1-2 @ 5.33% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 20.4%