Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 50.72%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 26.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Sevilla |
| 50.72% ( | 22.69% ( | 26.59% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.09% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.81% | 39.18% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.49% ( | 61.51% ( |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.36% ( | 15.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.34% ( | 44.66% ( |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.42% ( | 27.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.9% ( | 63.1% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Girona | Draw | Sevilla |
| 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 1-0 @ 8% ( 2-0 @ 7.42% ( 3-1 @ 5.91% ( 3-0 @ 4.59% ( 3-2 @ 3.81% 4-1 @ 2.74% ( 4-0 @ 2.13% ( 4-2 @ 1.77% 5-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.76% Total : 50.72% | 1-1 @ 10.3% 2-2 @ 6.16% ( 0-0 @ 4.31% 3-3 @ 1.64% ( Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.68% | 1-2 @ 6.64% ( 0-1 @ 5.56% ( 0-2 @ 3.58% ( 1-3 @ 2.85% ( 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0-3 @ 1.54% ( 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.87% Total : 26.59% |