Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Girona in this match.