La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 19

Jan 11, 2025 at 1pm UK

Estadio de Mendizorroza

Alaves
0 - 1
Girona

Guridi (55')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Solis (90+1')
Danjuma (35'), Herrera (45+2'), Krejci (49'), Stuani (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Valencia 2-2 Alaves
Sunday, December 22 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Girona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Girona 3-0 Valladolid
Friday, December 20 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Girona in this match.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Girona
32.12% ( -0.01)	28.21% ( -0.03)	39.66% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 46.66% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.57% (

0.08)

59.42% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.2% (

0.06)

79.8% (

-0.06)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.93% (

0.03)

34.06% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.25% (

0.04)

70.75% (

-0.04)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.76% (

0.06)

29.23% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.81% (

0.07)

65.19% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Alaves 32.12%

Girona 39.65%

Draw 28.2%

Alaves	Draw	Girona
1-0 @ 10.72% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.1% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.55% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.07% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 32.12%	1-1 @ 13.18% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.96% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.2%	0-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.11% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.53% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 1.6% Total : 39.65%