Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 49.13%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 24.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.41%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mallorca | Draw | Girona |
| 24.77% ( | 26.09% ( | 49.13% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.39% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.89% ( | 55.11% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.63% ( | 76.36% ( |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.41% ( | 37.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.63% ( | 74.36% ( |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.53% ( | 22.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.99% ( | 56.01% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mallorca | Draw | Girona |
| 1-0 @ 8.26% ( 2-1 @ 6.04% ( 2-0 @ 4.04% ( 3-1 @ 1.97% ( 3-2 @ 1.47% ( 3-0 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 1.67% Total : 24.77% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0-0 @ 8.44% ( 2-2 @ 4.51% ( Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 12.6% 0-2 @ 9.41% ( 1-2 @ 9.21% ( 0-3 @ 4.69% ( 1-3 @ 4.59% ( 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0-4 @ 1.75% ( 1-4 @ 1.71% ( Other @ 2.93% Total : 49.13% |