Almeria
Copa del Rey | Round of 32
Jan 4, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos
Sevilla logo

Almeria
4 - 1
Sevilla

Milovanovic (49'), Suarez Charris (55', 78', 90+6' pen.)
Milovanovic (17'), Nico (37'), Quintanilla Rodriguez (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Romero (5')
Bade (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Copa del Rey clash between Almeria and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Almeria 1-1 Cadiz
Sunday, December 22 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Sevilla

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Real Madrid 4-2 Sevilla
Sunday, December 22 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 48.05%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-2 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.

Result
AlmeriaDrawSevilla
48.05% (-1.254 -1.25)23.9% (0.421 0.42)28.05% (0.83 0.83)
Both teams to score 58.09% (-0.772 -0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.3% (-1.324 -1.32)43.7% (1.32 1.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.91% (-1.308 -1.31)66.09% (1.306 1.31)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.67% (-0.98999999999999 -0.99)18.33% (0.988 0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.57% (-1.707 -1.71)49.43% (1.704 1.7)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.13% (-0.085000000000008 -0.09)28.87% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.26% (-0.105 -0.11)64.73% (0.101 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 48.05%
    Sevilla 28.05%
    Draw 23.89%
AlmeriaDrawSevilla
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
1-0 @ 8.98% (0.231 0.23)
2-0 @ 7.62% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.35% (-0.221 -0.22)
3-0 @ 4.31% (-0.168 -0.17)
3-2 @ 3.33% (-0.145 -0.15)
4-1 @ 2.27% (-0.171 -0.17)
4-0 @ 1.83% (-0.133 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 48.05%
1-1 @ 11.15% (0.26 0.26)
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.29% (0.3 0.3)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.89%
1-2 @ 6.93% (0.148 0.15)
0-1 @ 6.57% (0.358 0.36)
0-2 @ 4.08% (0.214 0.21)
1-3 @ 2.87% (0.055 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 28.05%

How you voted: Almeria vs Sevilla

Almeria
57.1%
Draw
19.0%
Sevilla
23.8%
21
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 28
Almeria
2-2
Sevilla
Embarba (38'), Milovanovic (90+5')
Lopy (84'), Gonzalez (90+6')
Lukebakio (81'), Ocampos (86')
Bade (43')
> Preview
Sep 26, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 7
Sevilla
5-1
Almeria
En-Nesyri (7'), Lukebakio (8'), Suso (38'), Lamela (51'), Salas (90+2')
Navas (70'), Suso (83'), Lamela (90+1')
Suarez Charris (71' pen.)
Fernandes (77'), Baba (86')
> Preview
Mar 12, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 25
Sevilla
2-1
Almeria
Ocampos (45+2' pen.), Lamela (73')
Akieme (2')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2022 9pm
Gameweek 3
Almeria
2-1
Sevilla
Ramazani (42'), Sadiq (55')
Eguaras (33'), Fernandes (71'), de la Hoz (78'), Baptistao (84'), Samu (90+1')
Torres (30')
Lamela (12'), Rekik (15'), Mir (45'), Navas (47'), Angel Carmona (70'), Isco (78'), Delaney (80'), Telles (83')
> Preview
Feb 2, 2021 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Almeria
0-1
Sevilla

Corpas (69'), Chumi (81')
Ocampos (67')
Lopetegui (90')
> Preview