Segunda Division | Gameweek 18
Dec 8, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio La Rosaleda
Almeria

Malaga
1 - 1
Almeria

Martinez (12' og.)
Molina (51'), Luismi (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pastor (90+7' og.)
Pubill (20'), Rubi (21'), Langa (49'), Lopy (51'), Chumi (56'), Suarez Charris (63')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Malaga and Almeria.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malaga

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last Game: Castellon 2-0 Malaga
Sunday, December 1 at 1pm in Segunda Division

Almeria

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last Game: Leonesa 1-2 Almeria
Wednesday, December 4 at 7pm in Copa del Rey

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 36.67%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (11.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
MalagaDrawAlmeria
36.67% (1.681 1.68)28.29% (0.607 0.61)35.04% (-2.289 -2.29)
Both teams to score 46.91% (-1.814 -1.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.66% (-2.249 -2.25)59.33% (2.248 2.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.27% (-1.764 -1.76)79.73% (1.763 1.76)
Malaga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.01% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)30.99% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.71% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)67.29% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.97% (-2.561 -2.56)32.03% (2.56 2.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.51% (-3.021 -3.02)68.49% (3.021 3.02)
Score Analysis
    Malaga 36.66%
    Almeria 35.04%
    Draw 28.28%
MalagaDrawAlmeria
1-0 @ 11.62% (0.93 0.93)
2-1 @ 7.76% (0.087 0.09)
2-0 @ 6.81% (0.535 0.53)
3-1 @ 3.03% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.66% (0.205 0.21)
3-2 @ 1.72% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 36.66%
1-1 @ 13.23% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 9.92% (0.812 0.81)
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.27 -0.27)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.28%
0-1 @ 11.3% (0.17 0.17)
1-2 @ 7.54% (-0.447 -0.45)
0-2 @ 6.43% (-0.369 -0.37)
1-3 @ 2.86% (-0.391 -0.39)
0-3 @ 2.44% (-0.329 -0.33)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.232 -0.23)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 35.04%

Head to Head
Jul 27, 2024 6.30pm
Club Friendlies 3
Malaga
0-1
Almeria

(64')
Centelles (24')
(57'), (87')
Feb 12, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 27
Malaga
0-1
Almeria

Escassi (22'), Peybernes (76'), Gomez (90+4')
Sadiq (53')
Akieme (34'), Robertone (86')
Sep 4, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 4
Almeria
2-0
Malaga
Sadiq (51'), Chumi (58')
Martos (22'), Ramazani (27')
Martos (46')

Gomez (3'), Villodres Medina (23'), Munoz (57')
Mar 30, 2021 6.30pm
Gameweek 32
Malaga
0-3
Almeria

Mejias (36')
Robertone (12'), Carlos Lazo (29'), Sadiq (77')
Makaridze (73')
Dec 13, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 18
Almeria
3-1
Malaga
Sadiq (11'), Maras (78'), Ramazani (90+3')
Aketxe (15'), Maras (22'), Corpas (60'), Ramazani (70'), Balliu (85'), Petrovic (88'), Cuenca (90+2')
Munoz (45+3')
Mejias (60'), Chavarria (80')