Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 41.82%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Malaga win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Castellon would win this match.

Result
Castellon	Draw	Malaga
41.82% ( 0.49)	26.69% ( 0.24)	31.5% ( -0.73)

Both teams to score 50.98% (

-1.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.13% (

-1.18)

53.87% (

1.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.67% (

-1)

75.33% (

Castellon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.56% (

-0.28)

25.44% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.74% (

-0.38)

60.27% (

0.39)

Malaga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.37% (

-1.09)

31.63% (

1.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.96% (

-1.28)

68.04% (

1.29)

Score Analysis

Castellon 41.81%

Malaga 31.5%

Draw 26.68%

Castellon	Draw	Malaga
1-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 8.68% 2-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.38% Total : 41.81%	1-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.68%	0-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.85% Total : 31.5%