Segunda Division | Gameweek 12
Oct 26, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de la Romareda

Zaragoza
1 - 2
Castellon

Liso (8')
Azon (26'), Clemente (53'), Lopez (71')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jimenez (1'), Suero (76')
Gil (4'), Jimenez (40'), Willems (45+1'), Suero (85')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Real Zaragoza and Castellon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Eldense 2-3 Zaragoza
Wednesday, October 23 at 6pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Castellon 2-3 Granada
Tuesday, October 22 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 50.71%. A win for Castellon had a probability of 24.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Castellon win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Real ZaragozaDrawCastellon
50.71% (-0.715 -0.72)24.48% (0.119 0.12)24.8% (0.589 0.59)
Both teams to score 53.26% (0.242 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.27% (0.018999999999998 0.02)48.72% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.16% (0.015000000000001 0.02)70.83% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Real Zaragoza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.78% (-0.277 -0.28)19.22% (0.272 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.08% (-0.456 -0.46)50.92% (0.45 0.45)
Castellon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.93% (0.52000000000001 0.52)34.06% (-0.527 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.25% (0.557 0.56)70.75% (-0.563 -0.56)
Score Analysis
    Real Zaragoza 50.7%
    Castellon 24.8%
    Draw 24.47%
Real ZaragozaDrawCastellon
1-0 @ 10.79% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.9% (-0.164 -0.16)
3-1 @ 5.27% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.89% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.17% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.02% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 50.7%
1-1 @ 11.62% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.55% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.16% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.47%
0-1 @ 7.05% (0.093 0.09)
1-2 @ 6.26% (0.118 0.12)
0-2 @ 3.8% (0.103 0.1)
1-3 @ 2.25% (0.074 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.045 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.36% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 24.8%

Head to Head
May 20, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 40
Zaragoza
3-0
Castellon
Serrano (13'), Azon (47'), Tejero (66' pen.)

Molina (53'), Cubillas (70')
Dec 2, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 16
Castellon
1-0
Zaragoza
Diaz (84')
Molina (90+2')

Chavarria (26'), Vigaray (89')
rhs 2.0


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