Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 48.55%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 25.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.