Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Burgos had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Burgos win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.

Result
Almeria	Draw	Burgos
44.04% ( 0.13)	26.87% ( -0.05)	29.09% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 49.33% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.54% (

0.19)

55.46% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.35% (

0.15)

76.65% (

-0.15)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.98% (

0.15)

25.02% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.31% (

0.21)

59.69% (

-0.21)

Burgos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.79% (

0.04)

34.21% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.1% (

0.04)

70.9% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Almeria 44.03%

Burgos 29.09%

Draw 26.86%

Almeria	Draw	Burgos
1-0 @ 11.85% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 44.03%	1-1 @ 12.72% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.86%	0-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.27% Total : 29.09%