Segunda Division Gameweek 3
Sep 1, 2024 4.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal de El Plantio
  • yellowcard Sergio Moyita 16'
  • goal Douglas Aurelio 64'
  • goal Alex Calatrava Torrado 69'

Burgos vs Castellon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Burgos

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Aug 26, 2024 8.30pm
Cordoba 2 - 2 Burgos
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Fernando Nino

Castellon

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Aug 25, 2024 8.30pm
Castellon 0 - 0 Real Oviedo
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Raul Sanchez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 48.33%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Castellon had a probability of 25.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Castellon win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result

Burgos 48.33% (-0.29)
Draw 26.09% (+0.16)
Castellon 25.58% (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.13% (-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.49% (-0.50)
Under 2.5 54.51% (+0.50)
Over 3.5 24.13% (-0.42)
Under 3.5 75.86% (+0.41)
Over 4.5 10.81% (-0.26)
Under 4.5 89.18% (+0.26)

Burgos Goals

Over 0.5 77.43% (-0.34)
Under 0.5 22.57% (+0.33)
Over 1.5 43.83% (-0.50)
Under 1.5 56.17% (+0.50)

Castellon Goals

Over 0.5 63.45% (-0.17)
Under 0.5 36.55% (+0.17)
Over 1.5 26.66% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 73.34% (+0.17)

Score analysis

Burgos 48.32%
Draw 26.09%
Castellon 25.58%
Burgos
1-0 @ 12.27% (+0.11)
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 9.14% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 4.53% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.05)
4-0 @ 1.69% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 48.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.36% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 8.25% (+0.16)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.09%
Castellon
0-1 @ 8.3% (+0.13)
1-2 @ 6.22% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.18% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.09% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.4% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 25.58%