Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 49.79%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Castellon had a probability of 23.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.12%) and 1-2 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Castellon win it was 1-0 (8.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.