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Segunda Division | Gameweek 1
Aug 17, 2024 at 4pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Ipurua

Eibar
1 - 0
Castellon

Bautista (2')
Arbilla (15'), Guruzeta (25'), Merquelanz (54'), Nolaskoain (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Jimenez (81')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Eibar and Castellon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eibar

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last Game: Amorebieta 0-2 Eibar
Friday, August 9 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3

Castellon

All competitions
Last Game: UD Ibiza 0-3 Castellon
Saturday, August 10 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 61.91%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Castellon had a probability of 17.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Castellon win it was 0-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.

Result
EibarDrawCastellon
61.91% (1.328 1.33)20.84% (-0.68 -0.68)17.25% (-0.647 -0.65)
Both teams to score 53.76% (0.97000000000001 0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.48% (1.93 1.93)42.52% (-1.93 -1.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.08% (1.898 1.9)64.92% (-1.899 -1.9)
Eibar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.8% (1.022 1.02)13.2% (-1.021 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.08% (2.029 2.03)39.92% (-2.029 -2.03)
Castellon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.93% (0.394 0.39)38.06% (-0.394 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.17% (0.375 0.38)74.83% (-0.377 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    Eibar 61.91%
    Castellon 17.25%
    Draw 20.84%
EibarDrawCastellon
2-0 @ 10.3% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-0 @ 10.17% (-0.49 -0.49)
2-1 @ 9.95% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.95% (0.189 0.19)
3-1 @ 6.72% (0.253 0.25)
4-0 @ 3.52% (0.222 0.22)
4-1 @ 3.4% (0.249 0.25)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.155 0.16)
4-2 @ 1.64% (0.136 0.14)
5-0 @ 1.43% (0.139 0.14)
5-1 @ 1.38% (0.147 0.15)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 61.91%
1-1 @ 9.83% (-0.364 -0.36)
0-0 @ 5.02% (-0.445 -0.45)
2-2 @ 4.81% (0.055 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.84%
0-1 @ 4.85% (-0.373 -0.37)
1-2 @ 4.75% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-2 @ 2.34% (-0.153 -0.15)
2-3 @ 1.55% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.53% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 17.25%