Segunda Division Gameweek 1
Aug 17, 2024 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Ipurua
  • Jon Bautista 2' goal
  • Anaitz Arbilla 15' yellowcard
  • Jon Guruzeta 25' yellowcard
  • Martin Merquelanz 54' yellowcard
  • Peru Nolaskoain 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alberto Jimenez 81'

Eibar vs Castellon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Eibar

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Jun 12, 2024 8.00pm
Eibar 0 - 2 Real Oviedo
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Jon Bautista

Castellon

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
May 30, 2021 8.00pm
Malaga 3 - 0 Castellon
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Raul Sanchez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 61.91%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Castellon had a probability of 17.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Castellon win it was 0-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.

Result

Eibar 61.91% (+1.33)
Draw 20.84% (-0.68)
Castellon 17.25% (-0.65)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.76% (+0.98)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.48% (+1.93)
Under 2.5 42.52% (-1.93)
Over 3.5 35.08% (+1.90)
Under 3.5 64.92% (-1.90)
Over 4.5 18.32% (+1.41)
Under 4.5 81.68% (-1.41)

Eibar Goals

Over 0.5 86.8% (+1.03)
Under 0.5 13.2% (-1.03)
Over 1.5 60.08% (+2.03)
Under 1.5 39.92% (-2.03)

Castellon Goals

Over 0.5 61.93% (+0.40)
Under 0.5 38.06% (-0.40)
Over 1.5 25.17% (+0.38)
Under 1.5 74.83% (-0.38)

Score analysis

Eibar 61.91%
Draw 20.84%
Castellon 17.25%
Eibar
2-0 @ 10.3% (-0.10)
1-0 @ 10.17% (-0.50)
2-1 @ 9.95% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.95% (+0.19)
3-1 @ 6.72% (+0.26)
4-0 @ 3.52% (+0.23)
4-1 @ 3.4% (+0.25)
3-2 @ 3.24% (+0.16)
4-2 @ 1.64% (+0.14)
5-0 @ 1.43% (+0.14)
5-1 @ 1.38% (+0.15)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 61.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.83% (-0.37)
0-0 @ 5.02% (-0.45)
2-2 @ 4.81% (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-97.36)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.84%
Castellon
0-1 @ 4.85% (-0.38)
1-2 @ 4.75% (-0.13)
0-2 @ 2.34% (-0.16)
2-3 @ 1.55% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.53% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 17.25%