Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 41.49%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 28.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.53%) and 2-1 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.32%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burgos would win this match.

Result
Burgos	Draw	Cartagena
41.49% ( 0.49)	30.08% ( 0.29)	28.43% ( -0.78)

Both teams to score 40.5% (

-1.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.64% (

-1.09)

66.36% (

1.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.17% (

-0.75)

84.83% (

0.75)

Burgos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.35% (

-0.28)

31.65% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.94% (

-0.32)

68.06% (

0.32)

Cartagena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.25% (

-1.27)

40.74% (

1.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.67% (

-1.15)

77.33% (

1.16)

Score Analysis

Burgos 41.48%

Cartagena 28.42%

Draw 30.07%

Burgos	Draw	Cartagena
1-0 @ 14.83% ( 0.48) 2-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.99% Total : 41.48%	1-1 @ 13.32% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 12.89% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.42% Total : 30.07%	0-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.3% Total : 28.42%