Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeclano Deportivo win with a probability of 39.9%. A draw had a probability of 31.5% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 28.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yeclano Deportivo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.33%) and 2-1 (7.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.79%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.