Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Eldense had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Eldense win was 1-0 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.