Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Al-Sadd had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.41%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Al-Sadd win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Almeria	Draw	Al-Sadd
43.28% ( -0.03)	23.59% ( 0.03)	33.12% ( -0)

Both teams to score 62.1% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.32% (

-0.16)

39.68% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.97% (

-0.16)

62.03% (

0.16)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.32% (

-0.08)

18.67% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.99% (

-0.13)

50.01% (

0.13)

Al-Sadd Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.36% (

-0.08)

23.64% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.26% (

-0.11)

57.73% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Almeria 43.28%

Al-Sadd 33.12%

Draw 23.59%

Almeria	Draw	Al-Sadd
2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.48% 4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0) Other @ 3.51% Total : 43.28%	1-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.59%	1-2 @ 7.7% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.98% Total : 33.12%