Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eldense win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Castellon had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eldense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Castellon win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Eldense	Draw	Castellon
38.36% ( -0.36)	27.28% ( 0.17)	34.36% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 49.89% (

-0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.41% (

-0.64)

55.59% (

0.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.24% (

-0.52)

76.76% (

0.52)

Eldense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.87% (

-0.51)

28.13% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.19% (

-0.65)

63.81% (

0.65)

Castellon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.42% (

-0.2)

30.58% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.19% (

-0.23)

66.81% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Eldense 38.36%

Castellon 34.36%

Draw 27.27%

Eldense	Draw	Castellon
1-0 @ 10.91% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.87% Total : 38.36%	1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.27%	0-1 @ 10.19% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 7.66% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.14% Total : 34.36%