Segunda Division | Gameweek 7
Sep 29, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Nou Estadi Castalia

Castellon
2 - 1
Tenerife

Sanchez (20'), Willems (71')
van den Belt (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rodriguez (64')
Montanez Carrasco (52'), Gonzalez (66')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Castellon and Tenerife.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Castellon 0-1 Racing
Sunday, September 22 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Tenerife 1-1 Sporting Gijon
Sunday, September 22 at 1pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Tenerife had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.68%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Tenerife win was 0-1 (11.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Castellon would win this match.

Result
CastellonDrawTenerife
38.15% (0.054000000000002 0.05)29.21% (-0.243 -0.24)32.64% (0.188 0.19)
Both teams to score 44.03% (0.678 0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.27% (0.809 0.81)62.73% (-0.81 -0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.73% (0.584 0.58)82.27% (-0.584 -0.58)
Castellon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.21% (0.447 0.45)31.79% (-0.449 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.78% (0.511 0.51)68.22% (-0.511 -0.51)
Tenerife Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.54% (0.575 0.57)35.45% (-0.576 -0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.78% (0.59 0.59)72.22% (-0.59099999999999 -0.59)
Score Analysis
    Castellon 38.14%
    Tenerife 32.63%
    Draw 29.21%
CastellonDrawTenerife
1-0 @ 12.91% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-1 @ 7.68% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
2-0 @ 7.4% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.93% (0.065 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.83% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.52% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 38.14%
1-1 @ 13.39% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 11.27% (-0.34 -0.34)
2-2 @ 3.98% (0.101 0.1)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 29.21%
0-1 @ 11.68% (-0.17 -0.17)
1-2 @ 6.94% (0.093 0.09)
0-2 @ 6.06% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.4% (0.069 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.09% (0.035 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.38% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 32.63%

Head to Head
Apr 25, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 36
Tenerife
1-1
Castellon
Sol (41')
Sol (26'), Vada (45+2'), Shashoua (52'), Sanz (90+3')
Alonso (27')
Diez (49')
Galvez (71'), Bodiger (90+5')
Jan 3, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 20
Castellon
0-1
Tenerife

Diez (53'), Diaz (90+2')
Pomares (66')
Bermejo (24'), Apeh (30'), Sanz (49'), Alonso (59'), Vada (90+5')