Segunda Division | Gameweek 6
Sep 22, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Nou Estadi Castalia

Castellon
0 - 1
Racing


Moyita (45+2'), Schreuder (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Martin (48' pen.)
Michelin (8'), Aldasoro (86')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Castellon and Racing de Santander.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Almeria 2-5 Castellon
Monday, September 16 at 7.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Racing 1-0 Sporting Gijon
Saturday, September 14 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Racing de Santander win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
CastellonDrawRacing de Santander
40.19% (0.091000000000001 0.09)26.85% (0.021000000000001 0.02)32.95% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)
Both teams to score 50.93% (-0.092000000000006 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.85% (-0.103 -0.1)54.14% (0.107 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.44% (-0.087 -0.09)75.56% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Castellon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.57% (0.0040000000000049 0)26.43% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)61.6%
Racing de Santander Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.22% (-0.12700000000001 -0.13)30.78% (0.13 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.96% (-0.151 -0.15)67.04% (0.15400000000001 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Castellon 40.19%
    Racing de Santander 32.95%
    Draw 26.85%
CastellonDrawRacing de Santander
1-0 @ 10.82% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.49% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.2% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.2% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 40.19%
1-1 @ 12.75% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.13% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.85%
0-1 @ 9.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.52% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.65% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.95% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.22% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 32.95%